16 Sept · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1567
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Plokhotniuk
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1695
FormWLLWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~72 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+128
H2H22-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-19)