17 Sept · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1600
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Plokhotniuk
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1671
FormLLLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H22-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-20)