17 Sept · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1600
FormWWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1810
FormWWWWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+210
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)