17 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1775
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1810
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Yevtodii stays under total as underdog 70% (23)
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H8-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.