17 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1634
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Plokhotniuk
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1671
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H17-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-8)