17 Sept · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1810
FormWWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Ovriakh
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1671
FormLLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+139
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)