17 Sept · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1775
FormLLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Yevtodii
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1600
FormWWWLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~72 pts
3-0
28%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H28-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-9)