19 Sept · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1456
FormLLLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1605
FormWLLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+149
H2H20-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-5)