19 Sept · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1456
FormLLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1630
FormLWWWL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H111-63
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (111-63)