19 Sept · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1593
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1605
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (282)
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H20-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.