19 Sept · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1645
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bondarenko
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1605
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shevchuk🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (108)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+40)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)