19 Sept · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1645
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bondarenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1593
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ivchenko🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (108)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)