19 Sept · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1645
FormLWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Bondarenko
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1456
FormLLLWW
72%
28%
🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (108)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
27%
3-2
17%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+189
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)