19 Sept · 19:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1645
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bondarenko
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1630
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volgina🌟Bondarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (108)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.