19 Sept · 20:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1402
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1605
FormWLLWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+203
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)