20 Sept · 15:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1612
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Volgina
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1573
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shevchuk
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H24-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-22)