20 Sept · 17:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1593
FormLWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ivchenko
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1488
FormWLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-0
23%
3-1
23%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+105
H2H45-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-18)