26 Sept · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1442
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1578
FormWLLWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+136
H2H112-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (112-38)