26 Sept · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1442
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1589
FormLWWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+147
H2H21-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-5)