26 Sept · 19:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1674
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1682
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 82% (17)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.