27 Sept · 14:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1480
FormLLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1591
FormWWWLL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+111
H2H46-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-19)