27 Sept · 18:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1392
FormLLLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1676
FormWLWWL
19%
81%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~72 pts
0-3
36%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+284
H2H41-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+284)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-32)