27 Sept · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1613
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1671
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+58
H2H27-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-22)