28 Sept · 09:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1575
FormLLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Rzhevska
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1410
FormWWLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~71 pts
3-0
26%
3-1
26%
3-2
18%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+165
H2H20-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-2)