28 Sept · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1598
FormLLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kurtenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1410
FormWWLLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~72 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
27%
3-2
17%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)