2 Oct · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1659
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1677
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H14-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.