2 Oct · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1353
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tymchenko
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1388
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Tymchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (55)
Fair odds · Tymchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.