2 Oct · 15:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormWLWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1677
FormWWLWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~74 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+226
H2H80-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-52)