4 Oct · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1550
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivchenko
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1531
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H46-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.