4 Oct · 19:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1531
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H31-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-21)