4 Oct · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1397
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+54
H2H41-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-16)