4 Oct · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1664
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gordeets
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1616
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H28-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-23)