4 Oct · 16:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1531
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1616
FormWWLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
0-3
22%
1-3
22%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+85
H2H24-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-11)