4 Oct · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1616
FormWWLLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+165
H2H22-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-5)