4 Oct · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1664
FormWLWLW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
28%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+213
H2H80-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+213)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-53)