4 Oct · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1451
FormLWLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1550
FormLWWWL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+99
H2H113-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (113-38)