7 Oct · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1617
FormWWWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1810
FormWLWWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+193
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)