7 Oct · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1617
FormWWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1771
FormWLWLW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+154
H2H34-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-5)