7 Oct · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1617
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurtenko
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1560
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+57
H2H27-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-26)