7 Oct · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1624
FormWWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1810
FormWLWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~73 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)