7 Oct · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1617
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dronova
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1624
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.