7 Oct · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1653
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Plokhotniuk
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1617
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H26-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-6)