7 Oct · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1624
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dronova
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1560
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Dronova
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H1-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)