8 Oct · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1617
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Yevtodii
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1762
FormWWLLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+145
H2H28-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-11)