8 Oct · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1555
FormLLWLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1837
FormWWWLW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~71 pts
0-3
35%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+282
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+282)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)