8 Oct · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1663
FormWLWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1837
FormWWWLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~73 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)