8 Oct · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1762
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1837
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Yevtodii stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)