9 Oct · 19:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1623
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1631
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H8-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.