9 Oct · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1543
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1596
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
🌟Ivchenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (294)
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H25-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-24)