9 Oct · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1534
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Shevchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1596
FormWLLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H24-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-12)